EAFF East Asian Cup Preliminary Round Round 1

Mongolia vs Macau analysis

Mongolia Macau
29 ELO 25
6.9% Tilt 13.6%
28788º General ELO ranking 11222º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.1%
Mongolia
23%
Draw
28.9%
Macau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
Mongolia
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.9%
Win probability
Macau
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mongolia
-26%
-33%
Macau

ELO progression

Mongolia
Macau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mongolia
Mongolia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2018
MNG
Mongolia
0 - 2
Mauritius
MUS
17%
17%
66%
29 46 17 0
22 Mar. 2018
MAS
Malaysia
2 - 2
Mongolia
MNG
69%
19%
13%
29 46 17 0
06 Dec. 2017
MNG
Mongolia
0 - 0
Brunei
BRN
64%
18%
18%
29 23 6 0
04 Dec. 2017
IDN
Indonesia
3 - 2
Mongolia
MNG
81%
13%
6%
29 58 29 0
02 Dec. 2017
KGZ
Kyrgyzstan
3 - 0
Mongolia
MNG
72%
17%
11%
30 52 22 -1

Matches

Macau
Macau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2018
MMR
Myanmar
1 - 0
Macau
MAC
77%
15%
8%
26 49 23 0
14 Nov. 2017
MAC
Macau
3 - 4
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
14%
22%
64%
27 51 24 -1
11 Oct. 2017
IND
India
4 - 1
Macau
MAC
81%
13%
6%
28 53 25 -1
02 Oct. 2017
LAO
Laos
1 - 3
Macau
MAC
64%
17%
19%
26 33 7 +2
05 Sep. 2017
MAC
Macau
0 - 2
India
IND
11%
19%
71%
27 53 26 -1