Moldova vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
58.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
POL
2 - 0
MDA
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
MDA
0 - 5
ENG
6%
18%
76%
|
68 | 97 | 29 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
MDA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SLV
2 - 0
MDA
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
VEN
4 - 0
MDA
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 1
UKR
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
UKR
0 - 0
CZE
39%
26%
35%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 0
UKR
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
UKR
0 - 2
FRA
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2012 |
UKR
2 - 1
SWE
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |