Moldova vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
ISR
1 - 1
MDA
89%
8%
3%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MDA
2 - 1
AZE
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
EST
1 - 0
MDA
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2004 |
BLR
1 - 0
MDA
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MLT
0 - 0
MDA
29%
24%
48%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2004 |
GEO
0 - 1
ISR
31%
25%
45%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
DEU
2 - 2
GEO
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
GEO
0 - 2
ARM
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
CYP
3 - 1
GEO
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ROU
3 - 0
GEO
89%
8%
3%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |