Morocco vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
BFA
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUN
45%
27%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 1
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
GAM
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
RSA
1 - 2
ZIM
69%
21%
10%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
RSA
4 - 1
BOT
69%
22%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
BFA
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 2
NGA
31%
29%
40%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 2
RSA
6%
17%
77%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | -1 |