African WC Qual. Group E Round 1

Morocco vs Ghana analysis

Morocco Ghana
85 ELO 78
-16.4% Tilt -11.1%
107º General ELO ranking 691º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.1%
Morocco
25%
Draw
17.9%
Ghana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
Morocco
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
17.9%
Win probability
Ghana
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Morocco
+4%
-13%
Ghana

ELO progression

Morocco
Ghana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Morocco
Morocco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 1997
SLE
Sierra Leone
0 - 1
Morocco
MAR
23%
26%
51%
85 68 17 0
06 Apr. 1997
GAB
Gabon
0 - 4
Morocco
MAR
14%
24%
62%
85 67 18 0
12 Jan. 1997
GHA
Ghana
2 - 2
Morocco
MAR
31%
31%
37%
85 78 7 0
12 Dec. 1996
MAR
Morocco
2 - 0
Nigeria
NGA
53%
28%
19%
85 83 2 0
11 Dec. 1996
MAR
Morocco
2 - 2
Croatia
CRO
45%
26%
29%
85 87 2 0

Matches

Ghana
Ghana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 1997
GHA
Ghana
3 - 0
Gabon
GAB
64%
22%
14%
78 66 12 0
05 Apr. 1997
SLE
Sierra Leone
1 - 1
Ghana
GHA
30%
27%
44%
78 68 10 0
12 Jan. 1997
GHA
Ghana
2 - 2
Morocco
MAR
31%
31%
37%
78 85 7 0
06 Jan. 1997
TOG
Togo
4 - 0
Ghana
GHA
23%
27%
51%
79 65 14 -1
25 Dec. 1996
GHA
Ghana
1 - 1
Gabon
GAB
64%
23%
14%
79 66 13 0