Morocco vs Central African Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
20.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.7%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
11.4%
2.4%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
LBY
67%
22%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
QAT
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 0
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 0
MAR
29%
29%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOZ
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
GNB
3 - 1
CTA
78%
15%
6%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CTA
0 - 0
GNB
13%
21%
66%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CTA
1 - 2
ETH
9%
16%
75%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 2
CTA
75%
18%
7%
|
18 | 67 | 49 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CTA
0 - 3
RSA
7%
18%
75%
|
18 | 84 | 66 | 0 |