WC Qual. Europe Round 8

Malta vs Sweden analysis

Malta Sweden
56 ELO 93
5.9% Tilt 11.5%
4380º General ELO ranking 122º
27º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
15.6%
Malta
24.3%
Draw
60.1%
Sweden

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
Malta
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
60.1%
Win probability
Sweden
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Malta
-4%
-5%
Sweden

ELO progression

Malta
Sweden
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Malta
Malta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 2009
MLT
Malta
0 - 2
Cape Verde
CPV
38%
25%
37%
57 66 9 0
12 Aug. 2009
MLT
Malta
2 - 0
Georgia
GEO
18%
22%
60%
55 78 23 +2
10 Jun. 2009
SWE
Sweden
4 - 0
Malta
MLT
76%
17%
7%
55 93 38 0
05 Jun. 2009
CZE
Czech Republic
1 - 0
Malta
MLT
84%
12%
4%
55 95 40 0
01 Apr. 2009
HUN
Hungary
3 - 0
Malta
MLT
82%
13%
5%
55 87 32 0

Matches

Sweden
Sweden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2009
HUN
Hungary
1 - 2
Sweden
SWE
31%
28%
41%
93 87 6 0
12 Aug. 2009
SWE
Sweden
1 - 0
Finland
FIN
68%
21%
11%
93 86 7 0
10 Jun. 2009
SWE
Sweden
4 - 0
Malta
MLT
76%
17%
7%
93 55 38 0
06 Jun. 2009
SWE
Sweden
0 - 1
Denmark
DEN
40%
27%
33%
93 94 1 0
01 Apr. 2009
SRB
Serbia
2 - 0
Sweden
SWE
22%
28%
51%
93 85 8 0