Malta vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
61.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
MLT
0 - 2
GEO
24%
24%
53%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
MLT
0 - 2
MDA
36%
25%
40%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
MLT
1 - 1
BGR
17%
24%
60%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
MLT
1 - 1
CRO
14%
24%
61%
|
58 | 92 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
HUN
4 - 0
MLT
84%
12%
5%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2006 |
GER
2 - 2
JPN
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
JPN
0 - 0
SCO
54%
25%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2006 |
JPN
1 - 2
BGR
53%
26%
21%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
JPN
1 - 0
ECU
60%
24%
16%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
BIH
2 - 2
JPN
20%
24%
56%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | -1 |