Malta vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
55%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
MLT
0 - 2
MDA
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
MLT
0 - 3
YUG
9%
20%
71%
|
56 | 95 | 39 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1999 |
MLT
0 - 1
POL
11%
19%
71%
|
56 | 89 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1999 |
MLT
2 - 1
BIH
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
MLT
1 - 2
MKD
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
UKR
1 - 1
ISL
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
AND
0 - 2
ISL
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
LUX
1 - 2
ISL
23%
27%
50%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
ISL
1 - 0
RUS
19%
24%
57%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
ARM
0 - 0
ISL
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |