WC Qual. Asia Ronda Preliminar. Final
Global 1-6
Macao vs Chinese Taipei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
TWN
3 - 0
MAC
60%
19%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SGP
2 - 0
MAC
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
MAC
0 - 3
PAK
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MAC
1 - 2
TWN
44%
22%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
GUM
0 - 2
MAC
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chinese Taipei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
TWN
3 - 0
MAC
60%
19%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2003 |
LKA
2 - 1
TWN
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
TWN
3 - 0
TLS
94%
5%
1%
|
42 | 6 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MAC
1 - 2
TWN
44%
22%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
GUM
0 - 7
TWN
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |