Luxembourg vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
65%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
FRA
3 - 0
LUX
86%
11%
4%
|
42 | 86 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
LUX
1 - 3
FRA
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 85 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
LUX
1 - 3
POL
12%
16%
72%
|
42 | 86 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
ITA
3 - 0
LUX
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 91 | 49 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
LUX
0 - 2
ENG
10%
20%
70%
|
43 | 90 | 47 | -1 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
CSK
2 - 0
FRA
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1979 |
CSK
1 - 0
ESP
56%
25%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
ENG
1 - 0
CSK
72%
19%
10%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1978 |
CSK
3 - 0
ITA
44%
27%
30%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
CSK
3 - 4
BRD
38%
27%
36%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |