Lithuania vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
49%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ITA
1 - 1
LTU
78%
16%
5%
|
75 | 97 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
MDA
3 - 2
LTU
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2006 |
POL
0 - 1
LTU
80%
15%
6%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
ALB
1 - 2
LTU
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
LTU
1 - 1
BEL
14%
23%
63%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
SCO
6 - 0
FRO
80%
15%
5%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
JPN
0 - 0
SCO
54%
25%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
SCO
5 - 1
BGR
42%
29%
29%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
SCO
1 - 3
SUI
39%
28%
33%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
SCO
1 - 1
USA
32%
30%
39%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |