UEFA Nations League League C Round 3

Lithuania vs Kosovo analysis

Lithuania Kosovo
55 ELO 72
0.2% Tilt -11.8%
4154º General ELO ranking 1158º
20º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14.8%
Lithuania
18.8%
Draw
66.4%
Kosovo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
Lithuania
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
66.4%
Win probability
Kosovo
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lithuania
-2%
+16%
Kosovo

ELO progression

Lithuania
Kosovo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lithuania
Lithuania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2024
ROU
Romania
3 - 1
Lithuania
LTU
81%
14%
5%
56 85 29 0
06 Sep. 2024
LTU
Lithuania
0 - 1
Cyprus
CYP
38%
24%
38%
57 59 2 -1
26 Mar. 2024
LTU
Lithuania
1 - 0
Gibraltar
GIB
75%
16%
9%
56 40 16 +1
21 Mar. 2024
GIB
Gibraltar
0 - 1
Lithuania
LTU
18%
23%
59%
56 41 15 0
19 Nov. 2023
CYP
Cyprus
1 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
55%
23%
22%
57 59 2 -1

Matches

Kosovo
Kosovo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2024
CYP
Cyprus
0 - 4
Kosovo
XXK
21%
21%
58%
71 59 12 0
06 Sep. 2024
XXK
Kosovo
0 - 3
Romania
ROU
21%
24%
55%
72 85 13 -1
05 Jun. 2024
NOR
Norway
3 - 0
Kosovo
XXK
83%
12%
6%
72 86 14 0
26 Mar. 2024
HUN
Hungary
2 - 0
Kosovo
XXK
83%
12%
5%
73 86 13 -1
22 Mar. 2024
ARM
Armenia
0 - 1
Kosovo
XXK
51%
23%
27%
72 69 3 +1