Kenya vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
ETH
0 - 2
KEN
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
KEN
0 - 2
MWI
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
KEN
4 - 0
SYC
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
SYC
0 - 3
KEN
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
UGA
0 - 0
KEN
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MWI
0 - 0
SDN
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SDN
2 - 3
UGA
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CMR
3 - 1
SDN
72%
19%
8%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SDN
0 - 2
GHA
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
COG
0 - 1
SDN
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |