Kenya vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2018 |
KEN
0 - 1
SWZ
48%
25%
26%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
KEN
2 - 3
CAF
76%
17%
8%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
KEN
2 - 2
COM
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
THA
1 - 0
KEN
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
IRQ
2 - 1
KEN
67%
22%
11%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
GNQ
1 - 3
NGA
18%
28%
54%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
RWA
1 - 0
GNQ
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
LBY
3 - 0
GNQ
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SEN
3 - 0
GNQ
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
LBN
1 - 1
GNQ
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |