Kenya vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
16.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.8%
2-0
19.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.4%
2.4%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
KEN
1 - 1
BDI
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
TAN
1 - 0
KEN
38%
26%
37%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
KEN
1 - 1
RSA
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
CPV
0 - 1
KEN
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
ERI
2 - 1
SDN
19%
24%
58%
|
14 | 67 | 53 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BDI
1 - 1
ERI
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ERI
0 - 1
ZIM
8%
19%
73%
|
14 | 76 | 62 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SYC
1 - 0
ERI
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2001 |
KEN
1 - 0
ERI
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 70 | 56 | 0 |