Kenya vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
TAN
3 - 1
KEN
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
KEN
4 - 2
UGA
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
KEN
1 - 1
EGY
23%
27%
51%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
KEN
1 - 0
UGA
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2001 |
KEN
2 - 1
ZAM
27%
26%
48%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
18%
22%
60%
|
10 | 65 | 55 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2000 |
KEN
0 - 0
ERI
81%
13%
7%
|
9 | 68 | 59 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
RWA
1 - 0
ERI
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 62 | 53 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 2
SEN
9%
21%
71%
|
9 | 72 | 63 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
KEN
1 - 0
ERI
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 67 | 58 | 0 |