Japan vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1997 |
JPN
1 - 1
KOR
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1997 |
NPL
0 - 6
JPN
5%
17%
77%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1997 |
MAC
0 - 10
JPN
6%
18%
76%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
OMA
0 - 1
JPN
12%
22%
67%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
THA
3 - 1
JPN
29%
26%
46%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
GRC
0 - 1
CRO
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
CRO
3 - 3
SVN
83%
12%
6%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
CRO
1 - 1
DEN
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1996 |
CRO
1 - 1
CZE
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 2
CRO
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |