Italy vs Cyprus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.9%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1991 |
ITA
1 - 1
NOR
75%
19%
7%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1991 |
SUN
0 - 0
ITA
50%
28%
22%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1991 |
BGR
2 - 1
ITA
30%
31%
39%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
ITA
1 - 1
SUN
52%
27%
21%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1991 |
DNK
0 - 2
ITA
44%
29%
27%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1991 |
CYP
0 - 3
SUN
16%
27%
57%
|
51 | 93 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
CYP
1 - 1
ISL
35%
27%
37%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1991 |
SUN
4 - 0
CYP
82%
14%
4%
|
50 | 93 | 43 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
NOR
3 - 0
CYP
85%
10%
4%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1991 |
CYP
0 - 2
HUN
9%
17%
74%
|
51 | 89 | 38 | 0 |