Italy vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1982 |
ITA
2 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
22%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1982 |
ITA
1 - 1
CMR
83%
12%
6%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1982 |
ITA
1 - 1
PER
79%
14%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1982 |
ITA
0 - 0
POL
65%
19%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1982 |
CHE
1 - 1
ITA
22%
27%
51%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1982 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRA
46%
24%
30%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
4 - 0
NZL
89%
8%
4%
|
96 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
4 - 1
SCT
83%
11%
6%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
2 - 1
SUN
74%
15%
10%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1982 |
BRA
7 - 0
IRL
87%
11%
2%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |