Iceland vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
55.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
ISL
1 - 0
FRO
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1988 |
ISL
2 - 3
BGR
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
ISL
0 - 3
ITA
20%
31%
49%
|
61 | 93 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1988 |
ISL
0 - 1
PRT
21%
25%
55%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1988 |
HUN
3 - 0
ISL
83%
13%
5%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1988 |
FIN
0 - 0
SUN
18%
27%
55%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1988 |
SUN
0 - 2
NLD
70%
18%
13%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1988 |
SUN
2 - 0
ITA
65%
20%
15%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1988 |
ENG
1 - 3
SUN
61%
21%
19%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1988 |
IRL
1 - 1
SUN
39%
26%
36%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |