Northern Ireland vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
NIR
0 - 1
HUN
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
LUX
1 - 3
NIR
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
NIR
0 - 0
ITA
8%
20%
71%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
NIR
1 - 0
LTU
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BGR
2 - 1
NIR
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
MNE
1 - 0
GRC
29%
29%
43%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ROU
0 - 1
GRC
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
GRC
1 - 1
XXK
79%
15%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
GRC
0 - 1
ESP
8%
17%
75%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SWE
2 - 0
GRC
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |