England vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
9.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1954 |
ENG
3 - 1
GER
69%
16%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1954 |
ENG
3 - 2
WAL
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1954 |
NIR
0 - 2
ENG
26%
20%
54%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1954 |
URU
4 - 2
ENG
37%
22%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
ENG
2 - 0
SUI
83%
10%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1954 |
SCO
2 - 4
HUN
27%
21%
52%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1954 |
SCO
2 - 2
NIR
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
WAL
0 - 1
SCO
42%
23%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
URU
7 - 0
SCO
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
AUT
1 - 0
SCO
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |