WC Qual. Europe Jor. 10

Hungary vs Croatia analysis

Hungary Croatia
86 ELO 93
1.3% Tilt 12%
136º General ELO ranking 39º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.1%
Hungary
27.4%
Draw
43.5%
Croatia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
Hungary
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.5%
Win probability
Croatia
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hungary
+12%
+10%
Croatia

ELO progression

Hungary
Croatia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hungary
Hungary
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2005
BGR
Bulgaria
2 - 0
Hungary
HUN
56%
23%
21%
86 89 3 0
07 Sep. 2005
HUN
Hungary
0 - 1
Sweden
SWE
24%
26%
51%
86 95 9 0
03 Sep. 2005
HUN
Hungary
4 - 0
Malta
MLT
84%
12%
5%
86 56 30 0
17 Aug. 2005
HUN
Hungary
1 - 2
Argentina
ARG
16%
24%
60%
86 98 12 0
04 Jun. 2005
ISL
Iceland
2 - 3
Hungary
HUN
32%
26%
42%
86 80 6 0

Matches

Croatia
Croatia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2005
HRV
Croatia
1 - 0
Sweden
SWE
36%
28%
36%
92 95 3 0
07 Sep. 2005
MLT
Malta
1 - 1
Croatia
HRV
14%
24%
61%
93 55 38 -1
03 Sep. 2005
ISL
Iceland
1 - 3
Croatia
HRV
22%
27%
51%
92 80 12 +1
17 Aug. 2005
HRV
Croatia
1 - 1
Brazil
BRA
20%
24%
56%
92 99 7 0
04 Jun. 2005
BGR
Bulgaria
1 - 3
Croatia
HRV
38%
28%
34%
92 89 3 0
X