African WC Qual. Group A Round 1

Guinea vs Burkina Faso analysis

Guinea Burkina Faso
67 ELO 57
-13.7% Tilt -11.9%
1263º General ELO ranking 1121º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
58%
Guinea
23.7%
Draw
18.4%
Burkina Faso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
Guinea
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.4%
Win probability
Burkina Faso
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guinea
-7%
+1%
Burkina Faso

ELO progression

Guinea
Burkina Faso
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guinea
Guinea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 1997
KEN
Kenya
1 - 0
Guinea
GUI
44%
27%
29%
67 62 5 0
05 Apr. 1997
NGA
Nigeria
2 - 1
Guinea
GUI
74%
17%
9%
67 82 15 0
12 Jan. 1997
BFA
Burkina Faso
0 - 2
Guinea
GUI
34%
27%
39%
66 58 8 +1
08 Jan. 1997
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
2 - 1
Guinea
GUI
77%
15%
8%
67 81 14 -1
10 Nov. 1996
GUI
Guinea
3 - 1
Kenya
KEN
55%
25%
20%
66 64 2 +1

Matches

Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 1997
TOG
Togo
0 - 0
Burkina Faso
BFA
55%
24%
21%
57 64 7 0
31 May. 1997
BFA
Burkina Faso
2 - 0
Mali
MLI
30%
28%
42%
56 68 12 +1
27 Apr. 1997
BFA
Burkina Faso
1 - 2
Nigeria
NGA
13%
27%
60%
56 82 26 0
06 Apr. 1997
KEN
Kenya
4 - 3
Burkina Faso
BFA
58%
23%
19%
57 63 6 -1
29 Mar. 1997
TAN
Tanzania
3 - 2
Burkina Faso
BFA
57%
23%
20%
57 60 3 0