EAFF East Asian Cup Preliminary Round Round 1

Guam vs Northern Mariana Islands analysis

Guam Northern Mariana Islands
30 ELO 7
0.3% Tilt 16.5%
30548º General ELO ranking 37274º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
86.6%
Guam
10.2%
Draw
3.2%
Northern Mariana Islands

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
Guam
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.2%
3.2%
Win probability
Northern Mariana Islands
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guam
-51%
+378%
Northern Mariana Islands

ELO progression

Guam
Northern Mariana Islands
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guam
Guam
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2016
TWN
Taiwan
2 - 0
Guam
GUM
48%
23%
29%
31 35 4 0
09 Nov. 2016
GUM
Guam
0 - 2
North Korea
PRK
8%
18%
74%
31 76 45 0
06 Nov. 2016
HKG
Hong Kong
3 - 2
Guam
GUM
82%
12%
6%
32 55 23 -1
24 Mar. 2016
OMA
Oman
1 - 0
Guam
GUM
85%
11%
4%
32 78 46 0
19 Mar. 2016
TWN
Taiwan
3 - 2
Guam
GUM
48%
22%
31%
32 35 3 0

Matches

Northern Mariana Islands
Northern Mariana Islands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jul. 2016
MNP
Northern Mariana Islands
0 - 8
Mongolia
MNG
4%
12%
84%
9 31 22 0
02 Jul. 2016
MNP
Northern Mariana Islands
1 - 3
Macau
MAC
4%
11%
85%
9 26 17 0
30 Jun. 2016
TWN
Taiwan
8 - 1
Northern Mariana Islands
MNP
88%
10%
2%
9 34 25 0
25 Jul. 2014
GUM
Guam
5 - 0
Northern Mariana Islands
MNP
89%
9%
2%
9 26 17 0
23 Jul. 2014
MAC
Macau
1 - 2
Northern Mariana Islands
MNP
94%
5%
1%
7 26 19 +2