Greece vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
LVA
1 - 1
GRC
24%
28%
48%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ISR
0 - 1
GRC
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
BIH
0 - 0
GRC
34%
28%
38%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
ECU
1 - 1
GRC
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
ECU
1 - 1
GRC
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
CRO
3 - 1
ISR
67%
20%
13%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
MLT
1 - 3
CRO
12%
22%
66%
|
93 | 53 | 40 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
IRL
0 - 0
CRO
41%
27%
32%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 1
GEO
78%
15%
7%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 0
CRO
52%
26%
23%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |