Ghana vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 2
GHA
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 0
ALG
55%
24%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 2
SEN
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
GHA
3 - 1
TOG
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
UGA
1 - 0
GHA
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 1
MLI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CMR
1 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
CIV
1 - 1
GUI
68%
18%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
SEN
5 - 2
GUI
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
UGA
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |