Wales vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
AZE
1 - 1
WLS
8%
19%
73%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
LVA
0 - 2
WLS
26%
28%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
WLS
1 - 0
CAN
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
NOR
0 - 0
WLS
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
HUN
1 - 2
WLS
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
NIR
0 - 3
POL
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 0
NIR
65%
21%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
TTO
0 - 3
NIR
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2004 |
KNA
0 - 2
NIR
14%
23%
63%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
BRB
1 - 1
NIR
13%
23%
64%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |