Finland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
42%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1961 |
FIN
0 - 2
BGR
36%
22%
42%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
DDR
5 - 1
FIN
24%
22%
55%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
FIN
1 - 2
FRA
33%
22%
46%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
NOR
6 - 3
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1960 |
DEN
2 - 1
FIN
87%
9%
4%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1961 |
NOR
0 - 1
TUR
43%
21%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1961 |
NOR
1 - 1
MEX
34%
21%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
IRL
3 - 1
NOR
63%
17%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
NOR
3 - 1
SWE
30%
22%
48%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
NOR
6 - 3
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |