Estonia vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
FIN
31%
30%
39%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
UKR
4 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 2
EST
54%
23%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
IRL
1 - 1
EST
78%
16%
6%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
LVA
5 - 0
LTU
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
LTU
0 - 0
RUS
17%
25%
59%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
RUS
2 - 0
LTU
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
LTU
1 - 4
CZE
17%
26%
57%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
SCO
1 - 0
LTU
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |