Estonia vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1938 |
EST
1 - 3
FIN
59%
20%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1938 |
EST
0 - 2
LVA
46%
22%
32%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1938 |
LTU
0 - 2
EST
51%
22%
28%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1938 |
NOR
1 - 0
EST
82%
11%
7%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
LVA
3 - 1
EST
69%
17%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1938 |
LTU
0 - 2
EST
51%
22%
28%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1938 |
LVA
2 - 0
LTU
75%
14%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1937 |
LTU
0 - 4
EST
52%
21%
27%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1937 |
LTU
1 - 5
LVA
42%
22%
36%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1937 |
LVA
4 - 2
LTU
70%
16%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |