United States vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2006 |
USA
0 - 1
MAR
68%
21%
11%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
USA
1 - 1
JAM
75%
18%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
GER
4 - 1
USA
66%
20%
14%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
POL
0 - 1
USA
47%
27%
27%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
USA
4 - 0
GTM
74%
18%
8%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
MEX
1 - 0
VEN
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
VEN
1 - 1
COL
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
3 - 0
VEN
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 98 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
VEN
0 - 1
PAR
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
VEN
4 - 1
PER
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |