United States vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
USA
1 - 0
PRY
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
USA
0 - 0
BIH
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
PRT
1 - 1
USA
66%
20%
15%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
TTO
2 - 1
USA
14%
22%
64%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
USA
4 - 0
PAN
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CUW
1 - 0
BOL
10%
17%
74%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CUW
1 - 1
BOL
9%
17%
74%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
URY
4 - 2
BOL
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
BOL
0 - 0
BRA
6%
14%
80%
|
79 | 97 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHL
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |