United States vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
USA
7 - 0
SLV
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
USA
8 - 1
CYM
91%
8%
1%
|
79 | 41 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
USA
1 - 0
JAM
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
USA
0 - 1
UKR
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
USA
1 - 2
UKR
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1993 |
DEU
1 - 2
ARG
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
DEU
2 - 1
BRA
24%
24%
53%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
DEU
5 - 0
URY
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
TUN
1 - 1
DEU
23%
26%
52%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1993 |
DEU
2 - 1
ENG
29%
25%
46%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | +1 |