United States vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
USA
1 - 2
ENG
28%
28%
44%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2005 |
USA
2 - 0
GTM
70%
19%
10%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
MEX
2 - 1
USA
53%
25%
22%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
USA
1 - 0
HND
60%
22%
18%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2005 |
USA
3 - 0
COL
51%
27%
22%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 0
CRI
63%
23%
15%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
TTO
0 - 0
CRI
29%
28%
44%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
CRI
2 - 1
PAN
72%
17%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
HND
1 - 1
CRI
40%
25%
36%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
CRI
4 - 0
GTM
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |