Spain vs Bosnia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.1%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
6.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
7.5%
5-0
11.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
12.7%
4-0
15.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
18.1%
3-0
17.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.3%
4.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
4.1%
0.7%
Win probability
0.19
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.6%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 0
JPN
81%
14%
6%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
ESP
2 - 1
FRA
42%
26%
32%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
ESP
5 - 0
LIE
96%
3%
1%
|
98 | 11 | 87 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
ENG
3 - 0
ESP
39%
27%
34%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
ESP
1 - 2
NLD
50%
24%
27%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
LIE
0 - 3
BIH
9%
18%
73%
|
76 | 11 | 65 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
BIH
1 - 1
AUT
16%
21%
64%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
BIH
1 - 1
HUN
22%
22%
56%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2001 |
BIH
2 - 0
BGD
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
ISR
3 - 1
BIH
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |