Scotland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1935 |
SCT
2 - 1
NIR
73%
16%
12%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1935 |
WLS
1 - 1
SCT
39%
22%
39%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1935 |
SCT
4 - 2
ENG
40%
22%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1935 |
ENG
1 - 0
SCT
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1935 |
SCT
2 - 0
ENG
39%
22%
40%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
DEU
7 - 2
LUX
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
CSK
1 - 2
DEU
60%
19%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
POL
1 - 1
DEU
42%
21%
36%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1936 |
DEU
0 - 2
NOR
69%
16%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1936 |
DEU
9 - 0
LUX
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |