Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
DNK
4 - 2
SUN
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1985 |
DNK
4 - 1
DDR
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
HND
0 - 1
DNK
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
DNK
3 - 0
IRL
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
CHE
1 - 0
DNK
44%
28%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
SWE
1 - 0
POL
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
SWE
2 - 0
CSK
46%
28%
26%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1985 |
SWE
1 - 0
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
ISR
1 - 1
SWE
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
PRT
1 - 3
SWE
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |