Denmark vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
51%
20%
29%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
DEN
0 - 2
FIN
89%
7%
4%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1949 |
DEN
5 - 1
ISL
78%
12%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1949 |
POL
1 - 2
DEN
45%
22%
34%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
DEN
1 - 2
NED
66%
16%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
87%
8%
5%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
2 - 2
HUN
69%
15%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
IRL
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
ENG
58%
18%
25%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
AUT
2 - 1
SWE
53%
20%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |