Denmark vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
DEN
1 - 2
YUG
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
DEN
3 - 0
ISL
90%
7%
3%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
FIN
1 - 2
DEN
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1981 |
DEN
3 - 1
ITA
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
NOR
2 - 1
ENG
15%
23%
63%
|
62 | 92 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
NOR
2 - 2
NGA
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1981 |
FIN
3 - 1
NOR
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1981 |
NOR
1 - 1
SUI
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1981 |
ROU
1 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |