Denmark vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
49.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
DNK
1 - 2
HRV
60%
23%
17%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
EST
2 - 2
DNK
14%
24%
63%
|
95 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
DNK
1 - 0
SCT
67%
21%
13%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 0
DNK
67%
20%
13%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
TUR
0 - 1
DNK
31%
27%
42%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
TUN
0 - 4
ITA
17%
28%
56%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
37%
27%
36%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
PRT
1 - 2
ITA
46%
27%
27%
|
98 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ITA
2 - 2
CZE
58%
25%
17%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ITA
1 - 0
ROU
59%
23%
17%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |