UEFA Nations League League A Round 4

Denmark vs Austria analysis

Denmark Austria
91 ELO 86
-1.2% Tilt 0.1%
74º General ELO ranking 120º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
64%
Denmark
20%
Draw
16%
Austria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
Denmark
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16%
Win probability
Austria
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Denmark
+1%
+14%
Austria

ELO progression

Denmark
Austria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Denmark
Denmark
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2022
DEN
Denmark
0 - 1
Croatia
CRO
51%
23%
26%
91 89 2 0
06 Jun. 2022
AUT
Austria
1 - 2
Denmark
DEN
28%
25%
47%
90 86 4 +1
03 Jun. 2022
FRA
France
1 - 2
Denmark
DEN
70%
18%
12%
90 94 4 0
29 Mar. 2022
DEN
Denmark
3 - 0
Serbia
SRB
65%
21%
14%
90 87 3 0
26 Mar. 2022
NED
Netherlands
4 - 2
Denmark
DEN
63%
20%
17%
90 92 2 0

Matches

Austria
Austria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2022
AUT
Austria
1 - 1
France
FRA
15%
23%
62%
86 94 8 0
06 Jun. 2022
AUT
Austria
1 - 2
Denmark
DEN
28%
25%
47%
86 90 4 0
03 Jun. 2022
CRO
Croatia
0 - 3
Austria
AUT
62%
21%
17%
85 90 5 +1
29 Mar. 2022
AUT
Austria
2 - 2
Scotland
SCO
52%
24%
24%
85 85 0 0
24 Mar. 2022
WAL
Wales
2 - 1
Austria
AUT
35%
26%
39%
85 86 1 0