Colombia vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
COL
33%
27%
41%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
VEN
69%
20%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
GER
0 - 2
COL
67%
19%
15%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
IRQ
74%
18%
8%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
JPN
1 - 2
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ECU
2 - 1
URU
32%
25%
43%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
URU
3 - 1
CHI
67%
20%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
URU
2 - 0
CUB
88%
10%
3%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
URU
4 - 1
NIC
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
KOR
1 - 2
URU
34%
26%
40%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |