Colombia vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
NED
0 - 0
COL
72%
18%
10%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 2
COL
45%
27%
28%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 2
COL
37%
28%
35%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
COL
3 - 3
CHI
50%
26%
25%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
URU
2 - 0
COL
51%
26%
24%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CMR
4 - 1
TUN
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 0
CMR
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
TUN
3 - 0
CPV
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
TUN
3 - 0
CGO
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUN
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |