Colombia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
23.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1993 |
ECU
0 - 1
COL
52%
27%
22%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1993 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
70%
20%
10%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1993 |
COL
1 - 1
URU
45%
28%
26%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 1
COL
70%
20%
10%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1993 |
COL
1 - 1
BOL
68%
21%
12%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1993 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
3 - 0
PAR
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1993 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
64%
23%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
48%
28%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |