Colombia vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
URU
2 - 0
COL
51%
26%
24%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
55%
25%
21%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
SRB
72%
19%
9%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
PER
68%
20%
12%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
74%
17%
9%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 2
CHI
81%
14%
6%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 0
VEN
72%
18%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
6 - 0
IRQ
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
BOL
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 2
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |