Chile vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
CHL
1 - 2
BOL
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1994 |
CHL
2 - 1
PER
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1994 |
CHL
3 - 3
ARG
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
USA
0 - 2
CHL
35%
29%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1994 |
SAU
2 - 2
CHL
37%
29%
34%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1994 |
ROU
3 - 2
ARG
42%
27%
31%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1994 |
ARG
0 - 2
BGR
65%
21%
13%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1994 |
ARG
2 - 1
NGA
76%
17%
7%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1994 |
ARG
4 - 0
GRC
73%
18%
9%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1994 |
HRV
0 - 0
ARG
17%
22%
60%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |