Chad vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1987 |
TCD
1 - 1
GAB
37%
25%
39%
|
10 | 56 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1987 |
TCD
2 - 1
CAF
63%
19%
18%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
TCD
0 - 0
GAB
37%
24%
39%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
GNQ
0 - 1
TCD
77%
14%
10%
|
7 | 58 | 51 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
GAB
3 - 0
TCD
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 54 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
GNQ
0 - 1
TCD
77%
14%
10%
|
58 | 7 | 51 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1985 |
CPV
2 - 0
GNQ
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
GMB
1 - 0
GNQ
51%
22%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1985 |
GNQ
0 - 0
SLE
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1984 |
GNQ
1 - 0
MLI
51%
22%
26%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |