CHAN Qualifying Final
Global 2-2
Cameroon vs Central African Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.3%
3.7%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CTA
0 - 1
CMR
10%
21%
69%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
CMR
2 - 1
ZIM
71%
19%
9%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
NAM
0 - 0
CMR
15%
24%
61%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
KEN
0 - 1
CMR
22%
28%
51%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CMR
4 - 1
KEN
61%
24%
15%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CTA
0 - 1
CMR
10%
21%
69%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
CTA
0 - 1
GAB
8%
14%
79%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
CTA
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
CTA
0 - 4
MAR
3%
14%
84%
|
46 | 88 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 0
CTA
94%
5%
1%
|
46 | 88 | 42 | 0 |